The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) think tank speculates that Russian President Vladimir Putin may be getting ready to announce a second military draft this week.
Putin will give a speech in Leningrad on Wednesday to commemorate the 80th anniversary of the Soviet Union breaking Nazi lines during the city’s World War II siege, the Kremlin’s spokesman Dmitry Peskov said on Tuesday.
According to an ISW report citing Russian military bloggers who support the war as well as information from Ukraine and Western allies, Putin may use the occasion to announce a new troop mobilization in order to support Russia’s faltering war effort in Ukraine.
According to the ISW report, “Putin may announce a second mobilization wave to increase his army in the coming days—possibly as early as January 18.” “Putin likes to address the Russian people on symbolic dates.”
It continues, “Some Russian milblogs in favor of war noted that he will seize this opportunity to either declare mobilization or war with Ukraine. Putin’s planned mobilization for mid-January was repeatedly warned about by Ukrainian and Western intelligence.